Numerical modelling

Surges are water movements caused by meteorological effects such as winds and atmospheric pressure changes – they are not easily predictable and require powerful computers and sophisticated software to predict just 36 hours in advance.

Storm surge model

The National Oceanography Centre Liverpool develops and maintains tide-surge models used for forecasting storm surges on the coasts of England and Wales for the Environment Agency – Read more →

View the latest forecasts

The latest surge forecasts for the next 48 hours from the National Oceanography Centre's storm surge model run at the Met Office, can be viewed here – Read more →

Archived surge model outputs

Forecasts and archived forecasts are given for 35 coastal sites around the UK coastline – Read more →